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Trump Says He Dislikes Prediction Markets While Family Invests in Them

President Trump said he doesn't like prediction markets and warned White House staff not to bet on government decisions. But his son Donald Trump Jr. is an investor in Polymarket, a major prediction market company, through his investment firm 1789 Capital.

April 24, 20263 sources2 min read

President Trump has taken a public stance against prediction markets, telling reporters "I don't like it, conceptually, but it is what it is." The White House has also warned staff members not to wager on government decisions.

But Trump's family has financial ties to these same markets. Donald Trump Jr. is an investor in Polymarket, one of the biggest prediction market platforms, through his investment firm 1789 Capital. Polymarket allows users to bet real money on political events and government decisions.

Prediction markets have grown rapidly in recent years. These platforms let people buy and sell shares based on whether they think certain events will happen, like election outcomes or policy decisions.

The family's involvement in prediction markets while Trump criticizes them publicly creates a potential conflict of interest. If family members profit from platforms that bet on government actions, it could undermine the president's message to staff about avoiding such wagers.

Why this matters

This creates a conflict between Trump's public stance and his family's business interests. Prediction markets let people bet real money on political outcomes, which could influence government decisions if officials have financial stakes in the results.

What to watch

Watch for more details about the Trump family's investments in prediction market companies and any White House policy changes.

Sources
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This story was written with AI based on reporting from the sources above. For the complete story, visit the original sources.

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